ensemble prediction system

, , and

DOI: 10.3369/tethys.2012.9.01

pp.: 3 - 12

Abstract

When making numerical weather predictions, it is important to forecast not only the future state of the atmosphere, but also to predict the uncertainty related to this forecast. Keeping this in mind, research has started at iMetCam in order to develop a limited area ensemble prediction system. As a start, the simple dynamical downscaling approach was tried. Initial conditions and lateral boundary conditions were provided by the global ensemble system of NCEP and the PROMES limited area model was used for the downscaling.

References



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Partially funded through grants CGL2007-29820-E/CLI, CGL2008-02804-E/, CGL2009-07417-E and CGL2011-14046-E of the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation



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