probabilistic forecast

, , and

DOI: 10.3369/tethys.2012.9.01

pp.: 3 - 12


When making numerical weather predictions, it is important to forecast not only the future state of the atmosphere, but also to predict the uncertainty related to this forecast. Keeping this in mind, research has started at iMetCam in order to develop a limited area ensemble prediction system. As a start, the simple dynamical downscaling approach was tried. Initial conditions and lateral boundary conditions were provided by the global ensemble system of NCEP and the PROMES limited area model was used for the downscaling.


Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License

Indexed in Scopus, Thomson-Reuters Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), Scientific Commons, Latindex, Google Scholar, DOAJ, ICYT (CSIC)

Partially funded through grants CGL2007-29820-E/CLI, CGL2008-02804-E/, CGL2009-07417-E and CGL2011-14046-E of the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation

Syndicate content